---
title: "Will Bitcoin exceed $80,000 by Nov 30, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-bitcoin-exceed-80000-by-nov-30-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 104.52
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:15:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-bitcoin-exceed-80000-by-nov-30-2026
---

# Will Bitcoin exceed $80,000 by Nov 30, 2026?

Live · $105 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a qualifying one-minute average of the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) is above $80,000 after issuance at Nov 2, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST and before Nov 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.

The source is CF Benchmarks. Each minute after issuance and before the deadline is evaluated separately: discard the highest 20% and lowest 20% of BRTI observations in that minute and average the remaining 60%. The qualifying average must be strictly greater than the threshold; equality does not qualify. An earlier qualifying minute counts even if Bitcoin subsequently falls below the threshold. Last trading is the earlier of the first 10:00 AM ET following a qualifying occurrence or the stated deadline. Expiration follows BTCMINMAX, including its data-availability contingencies. If no data is available on the Expiration Date at the Expiration Time, the market resolves to No. Revisions after expiration are disregarded.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1119503?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-bitcoin-exceed-80000-by-nov-30-2026).

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