---
title: "Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-blue-origin-land-an-uncrewed-blue-moon-mk1-lander-on-the-moon-before-spacex-lands-an-uncrewed-starship
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 95118.7
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:26:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-blue-origin-land-an-uncrewed-blue-moon-mk1-lander-on-the-moon-before-spacex-lands-an-uncrewed-starship
---

# Will Blue Origin land an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship?

Live · $95,119 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 59% | 60¢ on Kalshi | 60¢ |
| No | 41% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/283?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-blue-origin-land-an-uncrewed-blue-moon-mk1-lander-on-the-moon-before-spacex-lands-an-uncrewed-starship.

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