---
title: "Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-btc-hit-50000-before-100000-by-dec-31-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2961674.07
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:58:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-btc-hit-50000-before-100000-by-dec-31-2026
---

# Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000 by Dec 31, 2026?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $2,961,674 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If BTC reaches $50,000 before reaching $100,000 between Issuance and 11:59 PM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market tracks whether the cryptocurrency price reaches the first threshold before the second threshold. "Reaches" means the price touches or falls below $50,000 (the lower threshold) OR touches or rises above $100,000 (the upper threshold). The first threshold reached determines the outcome. Price is measured using the CF Real-Time Index, taking a simple average over any 60-second period. If $50,000 is reached first, the market resolves to Yes. If $100,000 is reached first, the market resolves to No. If neither threshold is reached by the deadline, the market resolves to No. If no data is available at expiration, the market resolves to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2406?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-btc-hit-50000-before-100000-by-dec-31-2026.

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