---
title: "Will Canada housing starts be above 300,000 units in any release covering 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-canada-housing-starts-be-above-300000-units-in-any-release-covering-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-18T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-18T13:14:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6091.5
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:52:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-canada-housing-starts-be-above-300000-units-in-any-release-covering-2026
---

# Will Canada housing starts be above 300,000 units in any release covering 2026?

Live · kickoff 2027-01-18 00:00 UTC · $6,092 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the total number of Canada housing starts is above 300K in any monthly release covering January 2026 through December 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The relevant statistic is the headline monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate of housing starts for Canada, expressed in units, as reported on Trading Economics’ Canada Housing Starts page and sourced from Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. For clarity, the market will use the monthly seasonally adjusted annual rate for all areas in Canada, not actual monthly starts, year-to-date starts, the six-month moving average trend, urban-only starts, provincial starts, or the calendar-year total number of starts.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| Yes | 11% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1343?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-canada-housing-starts-be-above-300000-units-in-any-release-covering-2026.

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