---
title: "Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12877.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:30:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement-by
---

# Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Live · $12,878 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 9% | 10¢ on Polymarket | 10¢ |
| No | 92% | 93¢ on Polymarket | 93¢ |

## Other markets

- September 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2027 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/25293?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-clarence-thomas-announce-his-retirement-by.

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