---
title: "Will core CPI inflation exceed headline CPI inflation for September 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-for-september-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-14T12:25:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1259.87
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-for-september-2026
---

# Will core CPI inflation exceed headline CPI inflation for September 2026?

Live · $1,260 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If core CPI inflation is above headline CPI inflation for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.

For purposes of this market, “U.S. CPI all items less food and energy year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “U.S. CPI all items year-over-year inflation” means the 12-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/539823?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-for-september-2026.

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