---
title: "Will core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-mom-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-mom-for-september-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-14T12:25:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3605
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:21:52+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-mom-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-mom-for-september-2026
---

# Will core CPI inflation MoM exceed headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026?

Live · $3,605 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If core CPI inflation MoM is above headline CPI inflation MoM for September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only the first non-preliminary release of each value will be used. Revisions published after the first non-preliminary release will not affect resolution.

For purposes of this market, “core CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items less food and energy” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. “Headline CPI” means the seasonally adjusted one-month percent change for “All items” in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers, as reported by BLS. The comparison will use the one-decimal values reported by BLS. If the values are equal, the market resolves No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 29% | 29¢ on Kalshi | 29¢ |
| Yes | — | 71¢ on Kalshi | 71¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/565645?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-core-cpi-inflation-mom-exceed-headline-cpi-inflation-mom-for-september-2026.

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