---
title: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-democrats-hold-218-or-more-seats-in-the-house-after-the-2026-midterms-and-hold-49-or-more-seats-in-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterms
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1112311.44
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:25:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-democrats-hold-218-or-more-seats-in-the-house-after-the-2026-midterms-and-hold-49-or-more-seats-in-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterms
---

# Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Live · $1,112,311 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If ALL of the following occur: Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: "Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House?" uses SEATSCONGRESS, "Will Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?" uses SEATSCONGRESS. For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.


This market will resolve based on the composition of the U.S. House of Representatives and the Senate on February 1, 2027. Individuals caucusing with either party will be included with them (e.g. an Independent who caucuses with a party, like Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders who caucuses with the Democrats, would be counted as a Democrat).

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| No | 14% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293204?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-democrats-hold-218-or-more-seats-in-the-house-after-the-2026-midterms-and-hold-49-or-more-seats-in-the-senate-after-the-2026-midterms.

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