---
title: "Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-donald-trump-issue-any-executive-action-on-imposing-new-or-increased-tariffs-on-any-country-provided-the-action-specifies-an-effective-date-even-if-such-date-occurs-after-expiration-during-in-oct-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2888.84
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:20:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-donald-trump-issue-any-executive-action-on-imposing-new-or-increased-tariffs-on-any-country-provided-the-action-specifies-an-effective-date-even-if-such-date-occurs-after-expiration-during-in-oct-2026
---

# Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) during in Oct 2026?

Live · $2,889 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary. Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included. Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify. The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 64% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| Yes | 37% | 40¢ on Kalshi | 40¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/686378?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-donald-trump-issue-any-executive-action-on-imposing-new-or-increased-tariffs-on-any-country-provided-the-action-specifies-an-effective-date-even-if-such-date-occurs-after-expiration-during-in-oct-2026.

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