---
title: "Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? "
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 85164.27
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:50:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by
---

# Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by...? 

Live · $85,164 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the bitcoin holding officially owned by the Republic of the El Salvador government reaches or surpasses a value of $1b at any point by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolutions source for this market will be the ARKHAM INTEL tracker (see: https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/el-salvador). Any temporary glitches or errors in the tracker will not be considered. If the tracker becomes permanently unavailable another credible source may be used. Official announcements form the government of El Salvador confirming their bitcoin holdings have reached or surpassed $1b in value will also qualify.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5634?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-el-salvador-hold-1b-of-btc-by.

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