---
title: "Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-elon-musk-be-charged-with-a-crime-in-spain-or-france-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9679.23
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:19:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-elon-musk-be-charged-with-a-crime-in-spain-or-france-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France before Jan 1, 2027?

Live · kickoff 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC · $9,679 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Elon Musk has been formally charged with any crime in Spain or France after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court. Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges. Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count. If charges are filed and then dismissed before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes. Pre-trial diversion agreements involving formal charges count as charges. For groups of individuals, charges against any member of the specified group trigger the criterion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 6.6¢ on Kalshi | 6.6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2191?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-elon-musk-be-charged-with-a-crime-in-spain-or-france-before-jan-1-2027.

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