---
title: "Will GameStop acquire eBay?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:59+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3400493.73
venues: ["Gemini", "Polymarket"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:13:14+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
---

# Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Live · $3,400,494 traded · listed on Gemini, Polymarket

## About

This market asks whether GameStop will acquire eBay by the end of 2026. According to Polymarket's resolution criteria, a "Yes" outcome requires an official announcement that GameStop is acquiring, merging with, or has obtained a controlling interest (typically more than 50%) in eBay before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Partial sales qualify only if they result in a controlling stake, and the announcement itself counts even if the deal closes later. Otherwise, the market resolves "No."

The consensus view across platforms is heavily skewed toward "No," which sits at 92.5%, while "Yes" carries just 7.5%. On Polymarket, where nearly all of the $2.8 million in volume is concentrated, "No" trades at 92.5% and "Yes" at 7.0%. Gemini shows a very similar picture at 92.0% for "No" and 8.0% for "Yes," though with only about $4,800 in volume there.

The favourite is "No" by an 85-point margin, indicating traders view a GameStop-eBay tie-up as highly improbable within the remaining window. Cross-platform pricing is essentially flat, with a 0.0-point spread on the canonical outcome, so there is no meaningful disagreement between Polymarket and Gemini on how to price this event.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-20; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Gemini | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 2.2¢ on Polymarket | 5¢ | 2.2¢ |
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ | 98¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Gemini](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299823?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4999?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gamestop-acquire-ebay).

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