---
title: "Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-gas-be-below-375-in-any-state-on
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6102.35
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:55:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gas-be-below-375-in-any-state-on
---

# Will gas be below $3.75 in any state on...?

Live · $6,102 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on the specified date at 11:59PM ET, the average regular gas price for any US state is below $3.75 per gallon using unrounded figures. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Washington D.C. will not be considered a state despite its inclusion in the data provided by the resolution source.

This market will resolve based on the gas prices provided by AAA for the specified date, once the update for that date is made available. In the event that this source does not present the relevant information by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, the market will remain open for two full calendar day for it to update. If it remains unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be State gas prices published by the the American Automobile Association (AAA) at https://gasprices.aaa.com/.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67% | 72¢ on Polymarket | 72¢ |
| No | 34% | 39¢ on Polymarket | 39¢ |

## Other markets

- September 20 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/553612?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gas-be-below-375-in-any-state-on.

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