---
title: "Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-gavin-newsom-announce-presidential-run-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 94589.75
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:17:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gavin-newsom-announce-presidential-run-by
---

# Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

Live · $94,590 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 13% | 14¢ on Polymarket | 14¢ |
| No | 88% | 89¢ on Polymarket | 89¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5626?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-gavin-newsom-announce-presidential-run-by.

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