---
title: "Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-greenland-vote-for-independence-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 50598.71
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:26:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-greenland-vote-for-independence-in-2026
---

# Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?

Live · $50,599 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. 

A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2.8¢ on Polymarket | 2.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5844?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-greenland-vote-for-independence-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.