---
title: "Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-ground-beef-hit-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22967.61
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:25:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ground-beef-hit-in-2026
---

# Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?

Live · $22,968 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.

The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## $10.000+

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 91% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 15¢ on Polymarket | 15¢ |

## Other markets

- $7.000+ — 2 outcomes
- $8.000+ — 2 outcomes
- $9.000+ — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6289?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ground-beef-hit-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.