---
title: "Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-humans-colonize-mars-before-2050
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2050-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 28000.8
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:56:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-humans-colonize-mars-before-2050
---

# Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?

Live · $28,001 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If humans have a self-sufficient colony of at least 10 people reside on Mars for at least one Earth year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 70% | 73¢ on Kalshi | 73¢ |
| Yes | 30% | 33¢ on Kalshi | 33¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/202?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-humans-colonize-mars-before-2050.

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