---
title: "Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-illinoiss-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-fhfa-hpi-for-q4-2026-be-above-32738
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-26T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14067.04
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:14:01+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-illinoiss-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-fhfa-hpi-for-q4-2026-be-above-32738
---

# Will Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 be above 327.38?

Live · $14,067 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Illinois’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only FHFA HPI for Q4 2026 is above 

327.38, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the index_sa value for Illinois (IL), year 2026, quarter 4, in FHFA’s quarterly state Purchase-Only House Price Index dataset. The market measures Q4-over-Q4 price change, not an annual average or calendar-year average.

Resolution uses the first FHFA publication containing the Q4 2026 value; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 87% | 87¢ on Kalshi | 87¢ |
| No | 14% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293152?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-illinoiss-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-fhfa-hpi-for-q4-2026-be-above-32738.

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