---
title: "Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 601547.02
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:12:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027
---

# Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Live · $601,547 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT.

The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89% | 89¢ on Polymarket | 89¢ |
| Yes | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5298?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-iran-withdraw-from-the-npt-before-2027.

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