---
title: "Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-that-the-us-postal-service-blocks-at-least-10000-distinct-mail-in-or-absentee-ballots-for-the-november-3-2026-federal-general-election-pursuant-to-executive-order-14399-or-a-materia-38ad1607
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-11T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1927.19
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:23:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-that-the-us-postal-service-blocks-at-least-10000-distinct-mail-in-or-absentee-ballots-for-the-november-3-2026-federal-general-election-pursuant-to-executive-order-14399-or-a-materia-38ad1607
---

# Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure before Nov 11, 2026?

Live · $1,927 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure  after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Blocks” means that USPS refuses to accept, returns, holds, or materially delays ballot mail because of voter-list, barcode, certification, portal-submission, or similar election-specific requirements imposed pursuant to the covered measure. The threshold may be aggregated across incidents, but each ballot counts only once; warnings, promptly corrected interruptions, and ordinary postal problems unrelated to the covered measure do not qualify.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80% | 84¢ on Kalshi | 84¢ |
| Yes | 20% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/81309?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-it-be-reported-by-any-of-the-source-agencies-that-the-us-postal-service-blocks-at-least-10000-distinct-mail-in-or-absentee-ballots-for-the-november-3-2026-federal-general-election-pursuant-to-executive-order-14399-or-a-materia-38ad1607.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.