---
title: "Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-joe-manchin-announce-a-run-for-president-of-the-united-states-in-2028
status: live
kickoff_at: 2028-03-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2028-03-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 722.68
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:13:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-joe-manchin-announce-a-run-for-president-of-the-united-states-in-2028
---

# Will Joe Manchin announce a run for President of the United States in 2028?

Live · kickoff 2028-03-01 00:00 UTC · $723 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 78% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Yes | 23% | 27¢ on Kalshi | 27¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/426?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-joe-manchin-announce-a-run-for-president-of-the-united-states-in-2028.

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