---
title: "Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-04-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 41883.22
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:16:33+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by
---

# Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by...?

Live · $41,883 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jordan Bardella leaves the National Rally by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes leaving the National Rally, affiliating with any other political party, or renouncing National Rally and becoming an independent. An official announcement from Bardella stating that he is leaving National Rally will qualify, regardless of when the change takes effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be an official announcement from Bardella or National Rally. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## March 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |
| No | 95% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |

## Other markets

- July 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/16273?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-jordan-bardella-leave-the-national-rally-by.

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