---
title: "Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-knots-flip-bitcoin-core-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 38327.34
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:47:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-knots-flip-bitcoin-core-by
---

# Will knots flip bitcoin core by ___?

Live · $38,327 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is https://coin.dance/nodes/all, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart.
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes.

A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Other markets

- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5948?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-knots-flip-bitcoin-core-by.

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