---
title: "Will Leonardo da Vinci break their auction record this season?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-leonardo-da-vinci-break-their-auction-record-this-season
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 30294.31
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:06:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-leonardo-da-vinci-break-their-auction-record-this-season
---

# Will Leonardo da Vinci break their auction record this season?

Live · $30,294 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the highest auction sale price of any Leonardo da Vinci artwork sold at auction on any public auction house reporting final sale prices is above $450312500 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Sale Price” refers to the final publicly reported realized price of the artwork, including buyer’s premium and auction fees, as reported by the relevant Source Agency.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 7¢ on Kalshi | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2334?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-leonardo-da-vinci-break-their-auction-record-this-season.

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