---
title: "Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-macron-call-a-referendum-by-december-31
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 195.01
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:21:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-macron-call-a-referendum-by-december-31
---

# Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

Live · $195 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron convenes the electorate for a nationwide referendum between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, the Journal officiel de la République française must publish a presidential decree, signed by Emmanuel Macron, deciding to submit a text to a nationwide referendum, for example, through Article 11, Article 89, or via the référendum d’initiative partagée (RIP). Any such decree will qualify, even if the President did not support the initiative.

A mere public announcement from Emmanuel Macron will not suffice. Any referendum initiated through any procedure not requiring a presidential decree will not qualify.

If Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France before issuing a qualifying presidential decree, this market will resolve to "No" immediately.

This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying decree is officially published, regardless of when and whether a referendum is held.

The primary resolution source will be the Journal officiel "Lois et Décrets" on Légifrance (https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/jorf/jo); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6.7¢ on Polymarket | 6.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/308889?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-macron-call-a-referendum-by-december-31.

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