---
title: "Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-meta-release-a-model-called-llama-5-or-greater-before-jan-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 80334.86
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:25:48+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-meta-release-a-model-called-llama-5-or-greater-before-jan-2027
---

# Will Meta release A model called Llama 5 or greater before Jan 2027?

Live · $80,335 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Meta releases Llama 5 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2207?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-meta-release-a-model-called-llama-5-or-greater-before-jan-2027.

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