---
title: "Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House? — Before Jan 2028"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-mike-johnson-announce-he-is-leaving-the-house-before-jan-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7.73
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:27:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-mike-johnson-announce-he-is-leaving-the-house-before-jan-2028
---

# Will Mike Johnson announce he is leaving the House? — Before Jan 2028

Live · $8 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.

Giving up the Speakership or House Republican leadership alone does not count. A departure that takes effect at the end of a term, on Jan 3, 2027 or Jan 3, 2029, does not count, including a statement that Mike Johnson will not seek reelection in 2028 or will run for another office when his term ends.

If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.

For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure; a departure at the natural end of a term counts only as stated above.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1167161?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-mike-johnson-announce-he-is-leaving-the-house-before-jan-2028).

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