---
title: "Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-msci-downgrade-indonesia-to-frontier-market-status-by-november-30
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1643.19
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:27:21+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-msci-downgrade-indonesia-to-frontier-market-status-by-november-30
---

# Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?

Live · $1,643 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above. Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market. 

The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 93% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 8% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1083493?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-msci-downgrade-indonesia-to-frontier-market-status-by-november-30).

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