---
title: "Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-nevadas-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-42362
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-28T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12512.69
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:14:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-nevadas-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-42362
---

# Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?

Live · $12,513 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 

423.62, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value.

Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 85% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| No | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/311763?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-nevadas-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-42362.

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