---
title: "Will New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 478.68?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-new-hampshires-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-47868
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-28T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 12319.14
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:24:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-new-hampshires-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-47868
---

# Will New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 478.68?

Live · $12,319 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If FHFA reports that New Hampshire’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 

478.68, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the New Hampshire (NH) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 478.68 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value.

Use NH → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 81% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| No | 20% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/311764?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-new-hampshires-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-47868.

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