---
title: "Will Ninja reach at least 10,000 subscribers?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-ninja-reach-at-least-10000-subscribers
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 10476.71
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:12:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ninja-reach-at-least-10000-subscribers
---

# Will Ninja reach at least 10,000 subscribers?

Live · kickoff 2027-01-01 00:00 UTC · $10,477 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Ninja's peak number of active paid Twitch subscribers is at least 10000 at any time before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Active paid Twitch subscribers includes Tier 1 subscriptions (including Prime Gaming), Tier 2, and Tier 3 subscriptions, all counted as single subscriptions without weighting. Gift subscriptions that are currently active are included. Followers, expired subscriptions, channel points, bits, and viewers are NOT included. Only the primary Twitch channel specified at issuance is considered. If the channel is banned or deleted before the deadline, the contract resolves based on the last verifiable peak achieved. The highest subscriber count achieved at any single moment during the period determines resolution. Channel username changes are tracked by unique channel ID and do not affect the market.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 17% | 30¢ on Kalshi | 30¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2116?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ninja-reach-at-least-10000-subscribers.

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