---
title: "Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 449127.61
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:18:37+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027
---

# Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Live · $449,128 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 3% | 4¢ on Polymarket | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5200?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-north-korea-invade-south-korea-before-2027.

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