---
title: "Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — Before 2040"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-openai-or-anthropic-ipo-first-before-2040
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2040-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 411332.83
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets", "Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:50:05+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-openai-or-anthropic-ipo-first-before-2040
---

# Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? — Before 2040

Live · $411,333 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 94% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| OpenAI | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292495?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-openai-or-anthropic-ipo-first-before-2040.

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