---
title: "Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026? — Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-pennsylvania-formally-begin-leaving-pjm-in-2026-pennsylvania-formally-initiates-or-completes-a-statewide-withdrawal-from-pjm-through-binding-governmental-action-directing-implementation-or-coordinated-filings-by-the-affected-p-206d42b1
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 407.41
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:47:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-pennsylvania-formally-begin-leaving-pjm-in-2026-pennsylvania-formally-initiates-or-completes-a-statewide-withdrawal-from-pjm-through-binding-governmental-action-directing-implementation-or-coordinated-filings-by-the-affected-p-206d42b1
---

# Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM in 2026? — Pennsylvania formally initiates or completes a statewide withdrawal from PJM through binding governmental action directing implementation or coordinated filings by the affected Pennsylvania electric utilities to remove all or substantially all Pennsylvania retail load and associated transmission operations from PJM’s regional operational and wholesale-market footprint

Live · $407 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 19% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/815674?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-pennsylvania-formally-begin-leaving-pjm-in-2026-pennsylvania-formally-initiates-or-completes-a-statewide-withdrawal-from-pjm-through-binding-governmental-action-directing-implementation-or-coordinated-filings-by-the-affected-p-206d42b1).

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