---
title: "Will Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-pierre-poilievre-resign-as-the-conservative-party-leader-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-02-15T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 9269.93
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:11:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-pierre-poilievre-resign-as-the-conservative-party-leader-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will Pierre Poilievre resign as the conservative party leader before Jan 1, 2027?

Live · kickoff 2026-02-15 00:00 UTC · $9,270 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Pierre Poilievre of the Conservative Party has resigned or otherwise left their position as leader of their party, or announced that they will do so before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if the party leader resigns, is removed, or announces they will resign from party leadership. An announcement of future resignation counts for resolution even before it takes effect. This includes voluntary resignation, losing a leadership election, being ousted by the party, or any other mechanism that ends their party leadership. Death triggers special settlement at last traded prices. Temporarily stepping aside or taking leave while remaining leader does not qualify. The market is about party leadership positions, not government positions - a leader can resign from government while remaining party leader or vice versa.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89% | 91¢ on Kalshi | 91¢ |
| Yes | 11% | 13¢ on Kalshi | 13¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/4590?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-pierre-poilievre-resign-as-the-conservative-party-leader-before-jan-1-2027.

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