---
title: "Will Poland enact a law easing its abortion ban?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-poland-enact-a-law-easing-its-abortion-ban
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 212.66
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:39:10+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-poland-enact-a-law-easing-its-abortion-ban
---

# Will Poland enact a law easing its abortion ban?

Live · $213 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If legislation that adds or widens a legal ground for abortion or removes criminal liability for abortion or for assisting one is enacted in Poland before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.

Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods
Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods
Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes
Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness

The following do NOT constitute enactment:

Legislative passage without completed executive action
Passage by only some required bodies
Provisional passage
Non-binding resolutions
Draft orders

Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

For this market, a law easing Poland's abortion ban means a statute of Poland that adds or widens a statutory ground on which abortion is legal, such as severe and irreversible fetal impairment or abortion on request, or that removes criminal liability, in whole or in part, for abortion or for assisting one. It may contain other provisions and need not legalise abortion on request.

Guidelines or regulations of the Ministry of Health, the National Prosecutor's Office or the National Health Fund, rulings of the Constitutional Tribunal or any court, and measures that only change hospital procedures, conscience-clause rules or funding without adding or widening a ground or removing criminal liability do NOT count. Passage by the Sejm or Senate alone, and a bill the President has vetoed or referred to the Constitutional Tribunal without the Sejm overriding or the President signing it, do NOT count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1008329?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-poland-enact-a-law-easing-its-abortion-ban).

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.