---
title: "Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-republicans-lose-house-majority-before-the-midterms
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-04T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 22852.7
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:20+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-republicans-lose-house-majority-before-the-midterms
---

# Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

Live · $22,853 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Republican party ceases to hold a majority in the United States House of Representatives at any point before polls open for the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A majority in the House of Representatives means holding more than half of the currently seated voting members of the U.S. House at that time, excluding vacant seats. Ties do not qualify as a majority.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States House of Representatives Press Gallery (https://pressgallery.house.gov/member-data/party-breakdown); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/6398?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-republicans-lose-house-majority-before-the-midterms.

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