---
title: "Will Rhode Island’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 431.10?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-rhode-islands-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-43110
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-28T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5166.82
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:41:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-rhode-islands-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-43110
---

# Will Rhode Island’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 431.10?

Live · $5,167 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If FHFA reports Rhode Island’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 

431.10, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution will use the Rhode Island (RI) Q4 2026 index_sa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The strike of 431.10 is fixed and will not change if FHFA subsequently revises Q4 2025. FHFA identifies the seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI as its flagship house-price measure.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 80% | 80¢ on Kalshi | 80¢ |
| No | 21% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/350401?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-rhode-islands-seasonally-adjusted-purchase-only-house-price-index-for-q4-2026-be-above-43110.

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