---
title: "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4270482.88
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:33:18+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by
---

# Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

Live · $4,270,483 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## June 30, 2027

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40% | 40¢ on Polymarket | 40¢ |
| No | 61% | 61¢ on Polymarket | 61¢ |

## Other markets

- February 28 — 2 outcomes
- March 31 — 2 outcomes
- July 15 — 2 outcomes
- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5027?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by.

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