---
title: "Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-scotus-end-the-white-house-ballroom-injunction
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5413.35
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T18:54:41+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-scotus-end-the-white-house-ballroom-injunction
---

# Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Live · $5,413 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a final merits disposition that the preliminary injunction no longer bars White House ballroom construction in National Park Service, et al. v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The ruling must:
Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in National Park Service, et al. v. National Trust for Historic Preservation in the United States, No. 26A203, including any merits docket arising from the same dispute
Address the matter described by the specified judgment
Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision

The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order
Tentative rulings that are not made final
Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued
Settlements or voluntary dismissals
Administrative or scheduling orders
Orders to show cause
Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment

For clarity:
If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction
Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment
Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings
If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority or plurality opinion controls

An emergency or administrative stay does not qualify because the specified judgment requires a final merits disposition.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 60% | 63¢ on Kalshi | 63¢ |
| Yes | 41% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/329635?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-scotus-end-the-white-house-ballroom-injunction.

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