---
title: "Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-scotus-permit-missouris-hb-1-house-map
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-03T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 25144.19
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:09:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-scotus-permit-missouris-hb-1-house-map
---

# Will SCOTUS permit Missouri's HB 1 House map?

Live · $25,144 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Supreme Court issues an order permitting Missouri's HB 1 congressional map to govern the November 3, 2026 general election in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805 before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The ruling must:
Be issued by the U.S. Supreme Court in any U.S. Supreme Court proceeding arising from People Not Politicians and Richard von Glahn v. Denny Hoskins, Missouri Supreme Court No. SC101805
Address the matter described by the specified judgment
Be issued through a written order, opinion, judgment, or decision

The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Oral rulings from the bench unless reduced to a written order
Tentative rulings that are not made final
Draft opinions that leak but are not officially issued
Settlements or voluntary dismissals
Administrative or scheduling orders
Orders to show cause
Minute orders that do not address the substantive issue in the specified judgment

For clarity:
If the case is dismissed for lack of jurisdiction, that counts as a ruling only if the judgment refers to jurisdiction
Sua sponte rulings count if they match the specified judgment
Per curiam opinions and summary orders count as rulings
If multiple judges issue separate opinions, the majority/plurality opinion controls

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/440887?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-scotus-permit-missouris-hb-1-house-map.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.