---
title: "Will SI.gov launch by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-sigov-launch-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4033.19
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:50:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-sigov-launch-by
---

# Will SI.gov launch by...?

Live · $4,033 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government launches an official website at SI.gov between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying change requires SI.gov to be publicly accessible and serving an official U.S. government website. Either a completely new website or the existing AI.gov site moved, redirected, or rebranded to SI.gov will qualify. SI.gov merely redirecting to another existing website (e.g., AI.gov) will not qualify.

Placeholder or "coming soon" pages, error pages, and pages that are not publicly accessible will not qualify.

Only an actual change to the websites within this market's timeframe will qualify. Announcements of a planned change, including official U.S. government announcements, as well as statements, interviews, social media posts, polls, jokes, or expressions of interest, will not qualify. Temporary redirects, temporary pages, tests, or changes to either website caused by hacks will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the AI.gov and SI.gov websites and official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 82% | 85¢ on Polymarket | 85¢ |
| No | 18% | 21¢ on Polymarket | 21¢ |

## Other markets

- October 15 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/756693?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-sigov-launch-by.

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