---
title: "Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-before-2030
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 94603.46
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:12:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-before-2030
---

# Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?

Live · $94,603 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If SpaceX lands anything on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82% | 83¢ on Kalshi | 83¢ |
| Yes | 19% | 20¢ on Kalshi | 20¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/261?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-spacex-land-anything-on-mars-before-2030.

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