---
title: "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-spider-man-brand-new-day-reach-1b-in-domestic-box-office-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 38.59
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Entertainment"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:39:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-spider-man-brand-new-day-reach-1b-in-domestic-box-office-in-2026
---

# Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day reach $1B in domestic box office in 2026?

Live · $39 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses $1,000,000,000 (one billion dollars) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 10% | 18¢ on Polymarket | 18¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/607427?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-spider-man-brand-new-day-reach-1b-in-domestic-box-office-in-2026.

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