---
title: "Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-temporary-protected-status-for-ukraine-end-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2486.31
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:22:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-temporary-protected-status-for-ukraine-end-in-2026
---

# Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

Live · $2,486 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 93% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 7% | 11¢ on Kalshi | 11¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/909566?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-temporary-protected-status-for-ukraine-end-in-2026).

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