---
title: "Will Tesla layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees be confirmed?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-tesla-layoffs-affecting-at-least-3000-employees-be-confirmed
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 16469.58
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-08T01:02:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-tesla-layoffs-affecting-at-least-3000-employees-be-confirmed
---

# Will Tesla layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees be confirmed?

Settled · $16,470 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

**No** won. Settled 2026-10-01.

## About

If any Source Agency explicitly confirms, between Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, that Tesla has announced layoffs affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Affecting at least 3,000 employees in aggregate” means one or more qualifying layoff announcements made before October 1, 2026 that explicitly total 3,000 or more employees. Employees must be identified as Tesla employees; contractors and unfilled roles do not count unless explicitly described as employees.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2899?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-tesla-layoffs-affecting-at-least-3000-employees-be-confirmed).

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