---
title: "Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-15T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 97836.33
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:35:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026
---

# Will the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?

Live · $97,836 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.

This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## ↓ 5.70%

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99% | 99¢ on Polymarket | 99¢ |
| Yes | 1% | 1.9¢ on Polymarket | 1.9¢ |

## Other markets

- ↑ 7.00% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 6.30% — 2 outcomes
- ↓ 5.90% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 6.75% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 6.50% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 6.20% — 2 outcomes
- ↓ 6.00% — 2 outcomes
- ↓ 5.50% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 7.50% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 7.25% — 2 outcomes
- ↓ 6.25% — 2 outcomes
- ↑ 6.50% — 2 outcomes
- ↓ 6.00% — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5811?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-30-year-mortgage-rate-hit-in-2026.

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