---
title: "Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-aave-tvl-go-below-10b-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3477.94
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:02:58+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-aave-tvl-go-below-10b-in-2026
---

# Will the AAVE TVL go below $10B in 2026?

Live · $3,478 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized AAVE TVL datapoint has a value lower than the TVL specified in the title on any day between the date of this market's creation and December 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market is DefiLlama, specifically the Aave page available at https://defillama.com/protocol/aave/, with TVL displayed in USD on the daily chart.

The TVL value used for resolution will be the “TVL” value displayed for each daily bar.

A daily bar will be considered finalized once the next day’s bar is published.

If the data is revised before the threshold is hit, the latest numbers will be used.

If the data becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve using other credible crypto data sources.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 96¢ on Polymarket | 96¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 8¢ on Polymarket | 8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7586?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-aave-tvl-go-below-10b-in-2026.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.