---
title: "Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-bay-area-regional-transit-measure-pass
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-11-03T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 6.99
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:11:15+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-bay-area-regional-transit-measure-pass
---

# Will the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure pass?

Live · $7 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Bay Area Regional Transit Measure passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

This market refers to Measure RTM, the Regional Transit Measure on the Nov 3, 2026 ballot in Alameda, Contra Costa, San Francisco, San Mateo and Santa Clara counties. Whether it passes is determined by the combined vote across all five counties, not county by county.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | — | — | — |
| No | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/770152?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-bay-area-regional-transit-measure-pass.

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