---
title: "Will the carried interest loophole be closed? — legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests)"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-carried-interest-loophole-be-closed-legislation-that-amends-the-internal-revenue-code-to-effectively-eliminate-the-long-term-capital-gains-tax-preference-for-carried-interest-applicable-partnership-interests
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 312.2
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:23:07+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-carried-interest-loophole-be-closed-legislation-that-amends-the-internal-revenue-code-to-effectively-eliminate-the-long-term-capital-gains-tax-preference-for-carried-interest-applicable-partnership-interests
---

# Will the carried interest loophole be closed? — legislation that amends the Internal Revenue Code to effectively eliminate the long-term capital gains tax preference for carried interest (applicable partnership interests)

Live · $312 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

To qualify, the legislation must mandate that carried interest be taxed at a rate equal to or greater than ordinary income rates. The legislation will trigger a Yes resolution even if this change only applies to taxpayers above a certain income threshold (e.g., individuals earning over $400,000). Minor adjustments to the required holding period (e.g., extending the current 3-year rule under Section 1061) will not suffice for a Yes resolution.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/293374?via=md)

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Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-carried-interest-loophole-be-closed-legislation-that-amends-the-internal-revenue-code-to-effectively-eliminate-the-long-term-capital-gains-tax-preference-for-carried-interest-applicable-partnership-interests.

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